Sue's Blog

Showing posts with label gull island. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gull island. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Beware Gull Island and Dwight Ball and 40 cent power

I read with interest the latest post on Uncle Gnarley's Blog 

MUSKRAT WILL DESTROY UTILITY SYSTEM IN 2020

This guest feature by PlanetNL certainly has no problem getting our power rates to 30 cents - even while using conservative estimates. 

As Sue's blog has pointed out many times - population - is and has been a real problem since the Fisheries Moratorium.  That one disaster cost our province at least 100,000 people  between the 1992 and now. It was the destruction of a resource fundamental to us being solvent and growing. 

The PlanetNL feature has not yet accounted for that part of the problem. 

30-35 cent power does not yet include the out-migration - that will absolutely grow exponentially as power becomes unaffordable.It does not yet include the significant numbers of those who will move to fixed income status as our population ages abnormally - without offsetting numbers of babies and youth. 

None of the soon-to-be pensioners have a plan that accommodates 4 or 5 times increase in power rates. None of the government administered programs such as CPP or the OAS were designed to deal with this runaway price on an essential such as power. 

Any attempt by government to subsidize those on low fixed incomes means that those taxpayers/ratepayers left will be subject to even more expense. 

Small to Medium size businesses - not in the industrial sector - will be unable to pay the electric bill without passing it to a consumer who cannot afford to pay it. 

I expect the next installment from PlanetNL to contain pretty catastrophic projections for cost of power as the author includes some of these other factors into the equation. 

I won't say I look forward to reading it - but I look forward to seeing real data and realistic projections finally coming to the fore. We as a people are closing our collective eyes - holding our breath - as we await the boom about to fall directly on top of us. It is likely to suck all the goodwill, hope, and trust out of us as we try and find a way to save this place from complete devastation. 

How do we fix this?

Well as a province that has the 4th largest utility in the country and the second largest underground power station in the world - and possessing first class natural renewable and non-renewable natural resources - we also - unarguably - have had the worst management of those resources.

To fix this - we must stop Muskrat Falls now. We must show the fortitude necessary to withstand corporate leeches who will be up-in-arms that their undeserving gravy train will end. We must conduct a forensic audit and use all the legal tools necessary to rid ourselves of the Emera deal. 

Finishing Muskrat and continuing on with this fiasco means we will have to give away our remaining resources - rightfully belonging to our future generations - to simply stay afloat. Pushing this out is not an alternative. 

This is going to need read leadership, guts, and tenacity. This is going to require a wholesale change in our thinking and if the current politicians will not do it -They must be told to get out of the way.  

Stan Marshall - who has some qualifications for success in the sector (primarily in regulated utilities with reasonable guarantees of profitability) has been of little value here as:

1) he failed to replace some executive in Nalcor,
2) he remains in an otherwise (government exempted) conflict of interest situation with his personal interests in competing entities. 
3) he failed to report existing reports in a timely manner
4) he has not demonstrated the extreme due diligence needed right now (does not know enough about independent contractors) 
5) he has failed to call for a forensic audit despite the red flags
6) he is not engaged enough to make Nalcor his only and first priority

The entire executive of Nalcor must be replaced and we must name a new Board of Directors. The government must stop Muskrat Falls immediately and bring in forensic auditors. When that is completed - government must review all options and lay them on the table for the people and then utilize a referendum on those choices. 

In the coming months we should expect to see government trying to bail itself out with a new potential regarding Gull Island. Do not let them explore touching this asset until we have decided a complete course of action for Muskrat. They will GIVE AWAY another resource if we let them. 

This is a time when we need all our people to pull on the same oar and use our brightest minds to seek a solution - not based on 4 year elections and inadequate solutions. 

Right now Dwight Ball is not engaging with all such people. He is playing a political game with lots of spin to save his political hide and whatever else he may be engaged in. 

The Corporate Muskrat world  is working hard to find a suitable replacement for Ball - should he not be able to continue to deliver for them while maintaining the ability to be reelected. 

The MHA's in the House of Assembly had better buckle down and demand answers and become at least somewhat educated on hydro-power and our history. As it sits now they are woefully ignorant of the situation we are in and possess no ability to fix it.

Do you want a future for your kids and grand-kids in Newfoundland and Labrador? If so speak now. 

Either Newfoundland and Labrador will return to being a wonderful place for all of us to live and raise families in or it will remain a playground for the super-rich to extract more personal wealth from. 

Time is not on our side. 

When I see the media focus on the Dobbin/Williams racket or the where's Costco game - I acknowledge we are have a tough road ahead and the odds of us surviving are pretty minuscule. 

Onward we go.


Monday, October 24, 2016

Muskrat Falls - what about children of the Island?

The people of Labrador have begun a long overdue process of protecting their people from poison. This should have been done many years ago but it is happening now and that's what is important.

The movement has significant support from many people and organizations.

I stand with them in this fight against Nalcor and government and believe what they are doing is right.

Here's the problem - this is just the tip of the iceberg - and our children on the Island portion of the province are not being protected and also safe to suggest that clearing the land before flooding will not protect the people of Labrador against the real safety concern of the North Spur.

As for the children of Newfoundland - the risks are enormous - and in fact may mean their future will never be in this province.

The Muskrat Falls debacle is not affordable and we the people are not getting what we need right now and that is the costs to stop the project.

Stan Marshall the new head of Nalcor has been a disappointment - he is a permitted to be in conflict enabler for the corporations driving Muskrat Falls. This is not acceptable - and the spectacle of the Fortis entry into public offering is an embarrassment. Not that the company has gone public - although there are issues there - but rather our Minister running off to witness it.

Our children are being threatened on the Island as the children are in Labrador.

The children of the Island have to pay for this unsafe and over budget monster regardless of what the government does with other assets.

The idea to save consumers from Muskrat by developing Gull Island to pay for it - means there will be another 4 generations losing significant and essential resource revenue needed for the future.

So while Labradorians are attempting to protect their people from poison - we on the Island are turning a blind eye to what this project is going to do to our children. You will note that the public position of the Labradorians is that they are not opposing the project but protesting the flooding operations. Although I know there are many Labradorians who oppose the project outright - this fight is about flooding vegetation.

This project must be stopped and the people of Newfoundland and Labrador need to be given all information regarding the cost and benefits from stopping the project. Then we need a referendum.

What are you going to do about protecting your children? What are you willing to do to protect their future?

Of course all of this is in the backdrop of our enormous financial problems.

Thursday, March 15, 2012

Doing Emera Deal will spell disaster in 2041

The following is an exchange in the House of Assembly on Tuesday during Question Period:


MR. BALL: Well, they are not in the boxes. There was a comment made in this House last week, though, that it was kind of conclusive, the impression I had from that.
Mr. Speaker, the government’s 2007 Energy Plan clearly states that our Province will receive the full benefit of the Upper Churchill in 2041; however, the Manitoba Hydro report states that Nalcor has not considered sourcing Upper Churchill power because of the uncertainty of what will happen in 2041.
I ask the Premier: Can you explain why Nalcor is uncertain of what will happen with Upper Churchill power after 2041? Are there concerns that we may not gain control of this resource?
 

MR. SPEAKER: The hon. the Minister of Natural Resources.
 

SOME HON. MEMBERS: Hear, hear!
 

MR. KENNEDY: Thank you, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. Speaker, I am glad the member opposite mentioned the Energy Plan. The Energy Plan is the platform in which we lead to 2041 and the return of the Upper Churchill. What we are doing, Mr. Speaker, we are taking our non-renewable resource monies, our oil money, we are building schools, infrastructure and hospitals leading with Muskrat Falls and Gull Island, hopefully, to the development of a renewable resource economy. What we are always looking for, Mr. Speaker, is looking towards that day for our children and grandchildren when the Upper Churchill will be returned.


There are other issues, yes, certainly, Mr. Speaker. CF(L)Co is owned 65 per cent by the Government of Newfoundland and Labrador and 35 per cent by Hydro-Quebec. It is not simply a matter that there will be free power upon the return of the Upper Churchill in 2041. There are issues that have to be worked out, the CF(L)Co board has fiduciary obligations upon them. Mr. Speaker, we are always looking towards 2041, and Muskrat Falls is an important first step. (Emphasis Added)



As noted by Sue's Blog the 2041 debacle is going to be a great shock to our grandchildren as they learn we have fooled them again. 


The Minister of Natural Resources - Jerome Kennedy - has stated in the past on several occasions that 2041 will see the return of the Upper Churchill. 


The return of the Upper Churchill? What do you mean Mr. Kennedy? Explain it to us fully. 


The Minister has obviously been informed that 2041 does not mean the "return of the Upper Churchill" to Newfoundland and Labrador. 


The next post will deal with - why the above situation is the greatest reason NOT to do the Emera deal.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Simple Energy Question Government/Nalcor will NOT answer

Here it is and I send this challenge to all sitting MHA's in all parties and Nalcor Officials.

What happens in 2041?

Please answer this question - you all keep talking about 2041 - what happens?

Please provide the following information

1. What ends in 2041
2. Who owns the assets in 2041 and what assets are involved?
3. What about the water rights?
4. Who owns CFLCo?
5. How are decisions on future contracts regarding Upper Churchill power made?
6. Who sits on the Board of CFLCo?
7. Are there special decisions regarding CFLCo that need a majority of the board?
8. Do Hydro-Quebec representatives on the CFLCo Board have the power to stop future contracts?


Sunday, February 05, 2012

First 5 Questions for the Muskrats

1. If there are overruns of 50% as Manitoba Hydro suggests may happen who pays for them?

2. When did Nalcor/Newfoundland and Labrador Hydro first realise there was a shortage of energy?

3. Did Nalcor/Newfoundland and Labrador Hydro seek new industrial customers/partners for Lower Churchill power in Labrador - if so who and what were the results. If not why not?

4. Why are all independent reviews guided by Nalcor's numbers and projections?

5. Where will Nalcor/Newfoundland and Labrador Hydro raise funds to develop Gull Island?

More to Follow


Sunday, September 25, 2011

"New Energy" from who? Oh yeah that's right it's Dean's turn!

So what can we expect if Dunderdale wins this election?

Let me take you through the likely scenario. Danny Williams picked Kathy for a reason. He wanted her to complete the Emera deal and she is complying. Remember there a little while ago when Dean MacDonald's name was floated deliberately? That's right the Dean of the three amigos - Danny W - Brian T - and Dean M. Well you will note that Dean would have been expected to run interference in the Muskrat deal if he ran for the leadership of the Liberals. Now that would not do - so Dean has placed himself on the back burner until the "BAD" deal is done with Emera. Kathy would do fine for that - so the Dean thing was set up for him to become the "hero" for the Liberals after the Tories won this one.

Further - Kathy and her colleagues could be trusted to carry forth with one of the most inane Lower Churchill development deals imaginable. Not Danny's fault - he only agreed to a "term sheet". Not Dean's fault - it wasn't his party that did it. No this mess was meant for Kathy and Kathy is supposed to take the fall for it - later.

If the Tories win by a significant majority - Kevin Aylward will be pushed aside for the "Dean" and Kathy will begin to feel the daggers after about three months in office. Dean will ride in and try to make the "best" of a bad situation and explain how the Gull Island project will be different and help the mess Muskrat has caused.

Dean and Danny will not be blamed for escalating power bills and they will have to find another solution. This means the amigos will be going after the Gull Island project and try to privatize it some way or another. The excuse will be that there's no money left in the pot for government to develop Gull - therefore some private investors must do it.

Therein the millionaires become billionaires.

Kathy Dunderdale simply a pawn?

What's your take?